Trading strategies.
Tested.
Ranked.
20 yrs of SPY,
dividends & all
dividends & all
Every famous trading rule, put through one honest standard and ranked against simply holding SPY.
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Up next
One a week, each with a video. Verdicts go up the day the video does.
| # | Strategy | Verdict |
|---|---|---|
| 01 | Sell in May first up! Sit out May through October, every single year. Wall Street’s favorite saying. | TESTING… |
| 02 | Buy the dip Buy SPY after a sharp short-term drop, but only while the long-term trend is up. Sell on the bounce. | TESTING… |
| 03 | The golden cross Own SPY while its 50-day average is above its 200-day average, sit in cash when it’s below. | TESTING… |
| 04 | Bollinger band bounce Buy when price closes below the lower Bollinger Band, sell when it gets back to the middle. | TESTING… |
| 05 | Santa Claus rally Own SPY only for the last five trading days of December and the first two of January. | TESTING… |
| 06 | MACD crossover Own SPY while the MACD line is above its signal line, the textbook settings. | TESTING… |
| 07 | Sell after a 10% drop Sell once SPY is 10% below its one-year high. Buy back when it recovers to within 5% of the high. | TESTING… |
One standard.
Every strategy.
no cherry-picking — the rules are the same for everyone
The full method →- Market
- SPY only, daily bars, 2005 to today
- Starting money
- $10,000, all in, no leverage
- Timing
- Signal on the close, fill at the next open
- Costs
- 0.02% slippage on every fill
- Dividends
- Reinvested, for the strategy and for holding
- Idle cash
- Earns the 3-month T-bill rate while out of the market
- Benchmark
- Every result next to just holding SPY
- Held-out years
- 2023 onward kept back to check the edge survives
One strategy, tested, every Sunday.
(the honest result, good or bad)